A Statistical Dispatch from the Couch · All Sports, 1972–2026
The Sports Page
Making the numbers mean something since the first pitch
Issue No. [TBD] May 1, 2026 Distributed Free to Friends & Family

You Can’t Choose Your Allegiances Unless You’re a Rat. Here’s What 54 Years of Loyalty Has Cost.

Since 1972, a fan of the Mets, Jets, Rangers, and Notre Dame has watched 5 championships — and none since 1994. A Boston fan has celebrated 14. A Buffalo fan has celebrated zero. A 32-year drought across 4 teams is a 1-in-185 event. Here’s the fan misery map — who has it best, who has it worst, and where you land.
By The Sports Page · May 1, 2026 · Covering every title since 1972
32
Years Since Last Title (Rangers ’94)
5
Total Titles, 4 Teams, 54 Years
1 in 185
Probability of This Drought

The Fan Misery Map: Championships by City, 1972–2026

10+ titles 3–9 titles 1–2 titles 0 titles Your teams Circle size = title count 2 Seattle 11 SF / Bay Area 1 Las Vegas 15 Los Angeles 5 Denver 11 Chicago 4 Detroit 12 Pittsburgh 0 Buffalo 54 years. Zero titles. 14 Boston 15 total 5 New York Your teams: 5 of NY's 15 Championships by City, 1972–2026 CIRCLE SIZE PROPORTIONAL TO TITLE COUNT · MLB + NFL + NHL + NBA + CFB

Your Teams: The 54-Year Ledger

TeamTitles Since ’72YearsLast TitleCurrent DroughtClose Calls
Notre Dame FB 3 1973, 1977, 1988 1988 38 years 2012 BCS final, 2024 CFP final
NY Mets 1 1986 1986 40 years 2000 WS, 2015 WS, 2024 NLCS
NY Rangers 1 1994 1994 32 years 2014 Cup Final, 2024 Presidents’ Trophy
NY Jets 0 1969 (pre-fandom) 57 years 2009 AFCCG, 2010 AFCCG
TOTAL 5 1994 32 years

The Portfolio Comparison

Fan PortfolioTeamsTitlesLast WinDroughtRate
Boston Sox + Pats + Celtics + Bruins 14 2024 2 yrs 1 per 3.9 yrs
LA Dodgers + Rams + Lakers + Kings 15 2025 1 yr 1 per 3.6 yrs
Pittsburgh Pirates + Steelers + Penguins 12 2023 3 yrs 1 per 4.5 yrs
Chicago Cubs + Bears + Bulls + Hawks 11 2016 10 yrs 1 per 4.9 yrs
SF / Bay Giants + 49ers + Warriors 11 2022 4 yrs 1 per 4.9 yrs
Denver Rockies + Broncos + Avs + Nuggets 5 2023 3 yrs 1 per 10.8 yrs
Your teams Mets + Jets + Rangers + ND 5 1994 32 yrs 1 per 10.8 yrs
Seattle Seahawks (+ Mariners, Kraken) 2 2026 0 yrs 1 per 27 yrs
Las Vegas Golden Knights (+ Raiders) 1 2023 3 yrs
Buffalo Bills + Sabres 0 NEVER 54 yrs INFINITY

Since 1972, you’ve been alive for 54 baseball seasons, 54 NFL seasons, 54 NHL seasons, and 54 college football seasons. Across those 216 combined seasons with four teams, you’ve celebrated five titles. That’s a 2.3% championship rate. A Boston fan with the same four-sport portfolio has celebrated 14 — a 6.5% rate. The last time any of your teams won anything, Bill Clinton was president, the internet ran on dial-up, and the Rangers needed 54 years of their own drought to finally win the Cup. You’ve been waiting 32 years since. The Mets’ last title was 40 years ago. Notre Dame’s was 38. The Jets? They won before you started watching.

But here’s the thing about loyalty: you can’t choose it. You grew up in New York, fell in love with the Mets, suffered with the Jets, inherited the Rangers, and adopted Notre Dame. Those allegiances were set by geography, family, and the accidents of childhood. A Boston fan didn’t earn those 14 titles. They were born into them. A Buffalo fan didn’t deserve zero. They were born into that too. The question isn’t whether your fandom is pathetic — it is — but whether the math of sports makes everyone’s fandom roughly equally pathetic over a long enough timeline. The answer? No. Some cities are just luckier. And you’re not in one of them.

“You can’t choose your allegiances unless you’re a rat. None of us are rats. So here we are — 32 years into a drought, still watching, still hoping, still doing the math on when it ends. The answer: not soon enough.”

— The Sports Page, on the cost of loyalty

How Unlucky Is a 32-Year Drought?

Assumptions: Each team has ~4% chance of winning per year (rough average for a competitive team) 4 teams, outcomes independent P(no title in a given year) = (1-0.04)^4 = 0.849 P(32-year drought) = 0.849^32 = 0.005 = 0.5% That's a 1-in-185 chance. For context: Your drought: 1 in 185 (unlucky) Buffalo's drought: 1 in 82 (cursed) Boston's rate: 1 title per 3.9 years (blessed) You're not the unluckiest fan in America. But you're in the bottom 10%. And your 32-year drought is the longest active drought for any fan who HAS won before.

They’ve Seen This Movie Before

Buffalo — The True King of Misery
0
Championships across all sports, ever

Buffalo has two major professional teams. The Bills went to four consecutive Super Bowls (1991–1994) and lost all four. The Sabres have never won the Stanley Cup. Across 54 years, two teams, zero titles. If each team has a 4% annual chance, Buffalo’s drought has a 1.2% probability — and it’s been running since before disco. Your 32-year drought is painful. Buffalo’s is generational.

At least you have 1994
Boston — The Other Side of the Coin
14
Titles since 1972, one city, four teams

The Red Sox broke an 86-year curse in 2004 and have won four World Series since. The Patriots won six Super Bowls in 20 years. The Celtics have 18 banners. The Bruins won the Cup in 2011. A Boston fan born in 1972 has celebrated a title, on average, every 3.9 years. They don’t understand your pain. They literally cannot.

Born on third base, think they hit a triple

“Five titles in 54 years. One every 10.8 years. And a 32-year drought that’s still counting. The math says this is a 1-in-185 event. But it doesn’t feel like math. It feels like being a Mets fan, a Jets fan, a Rangers fan, and a Notre Dame fan — all at once, all the time, for your entire adult life. That’s not a probability. That’s an identity.”

— The Sports Page, on what the numbers can and cannot measure
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